How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Aucas, at 41.8%. The other outcomes represent 58.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.8% · Draw: 29.2% · Away win: 29.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Aucas 1706; Barcelona SC 1723. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Pro · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 21:30
Aucas
Elo 1706
0
-
4
Barcelona SC
Elo 1723
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
-17
H2H (6)
0H
4D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Aucas1706
Barcelona SC1723
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Aucas
4Draws
2Barcelona SC
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
29%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
45%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.