How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Manta FC, at 35.0%. The other outcomes represent 65.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35% · Draw: 30.3% · Away win: 34.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Manta FC 1534; Deportivo Cuenca 1624. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Pro · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 16:30
Manta FC
Elo 1534
0
-
2
Deportivo Cuenca
Elo 1624
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-90
H2H (6)
4H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Manta FC1534
Deportivo Cuenca1624
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Manta FC
0Draws
2Deportivo Cuenca
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
35% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
30%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
Draw
47%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.