How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tecnico Universitario, at 37.4%. The other outcomes represent 62.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.4% · Draw: 27.1% · Away win: 35.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tecnico Universitario 1532; Mushuc Runa SC 1628. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Pro · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 20:30
Tecnico Universitario
Elo 1532
3
-
0
Mushuc Runa SC
Elo 1628
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-96
H2H (6)
0H
0D
6A
Elo rating comparison
Tecnico Universitario1532
Mushuc Runa SC1628
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Tecnico Universitario
0Draws
6Mushuc Runa SC
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
27%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
45%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.