How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cibao, at 64.3%. The other outcomes represent 35.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.3% · Draw: 22.6% · Away win: 13.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cibao 1771; Moca 1535. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Mayor · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 22:00
Cibao
Elo 1771
2
-
1
Moca
Elo 1535
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+236
H2H (7)
1H
2D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Cibao1771
Moca1535
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Cibao
2Draws
4Moca
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
64%
Draw
23%
Away
13%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
38%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.