How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is CD Olimpia, at 62.4%. The other outcomes represent 37.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.9% · Draw: 17.8% · Away win: 62.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lobos Upnfm 1524; CD Olimpia 1839. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Nacional · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 23:15
Lobos Upnfm
Elo 1524
0
-
1
CD Olimpia
Elo 1839
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-316
H2H (5)
0H
2D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Lobos Upnfm1524
CD Olimpia1839
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Lobos Upnfm
2Draws
3CD Olimpia
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
42%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.