How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Deportes Tolima, at 64.4%. The other outcomes represent 35.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.4% · Draw: 21.5% · Away win: 14.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Deportes Tolima 1689; Deportivo Pasto 1520. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera A · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 01:15
Deportes Tolima
Elo 1689
0
-
1
Deportivo Pasto
Elo 1520
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+169
H2H (6)
4H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Deportes Tolima1689
Deportivo Pasto1520
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Deportes Tolima
0Draws
2Deportivo Pasto
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
WRONG
Home
64%
Draw
22%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
45%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.