How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mes Kerman, at 52.8%. The other outcomes represent 47.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.8% · Draw: 26.1% · Away win: 21%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mes Kerman 1520; Shahin Bandar Ameri 1476. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Azadegan League · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 11:30
Mes Kerman
Elo 1520
1
-
1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
Elo 1476
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+44
Elo rating comparison
Mes Kerman1520
Shahin Bandar Ameri1476
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Mes Kerman
—Draws
—Shahin Bandar Ameri
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
WRONG
Home
53%
Draw
26%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
45%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.