How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Muangthong United, at 48.5%. The other outcomes represent 51.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.5% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 28.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Muangthong United 1645; Police Tero 1576. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Thai League 2 · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 12:00
Muangthong United
Elo 1645
4
-
1
Police Tero
Elo 1576
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+69
Elo rating comparison
Muangthong United1645
Police Tero1576
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Muangthong United
—Draws
—Police Tero
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
Draw
23%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
30%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.