How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Persija, at 68.1%. The other outcomes represent 31.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.1% · Draw: 18.6% · Away win: 13.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Persija 1841; Persik Kediri 1624. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 1 · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 12:00
Persija
Elo 1841
2
-
1
Persik Kediri
Elo 1624
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+218
H2H (3)
3H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Persija1841
Persik Kediri1624
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Persija
0Draws
0Persik Kediri
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
CORRECT
Home
68%
Draw
19%
Away
13%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
37%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.