How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Barnsley U21, at 45.9%. The other outcomes represent 54.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.9% · Draw: 23.9% · Away win: 30.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Barnsley U21 1413; Peterborough United U21 1435. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–6. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Professional Development League · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 13:00
Barnsley U21
Elo 1413
3
-
6
Peterborough United U21
Elo 1435
FT
HT 2-4
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-21
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Barnsley U211413
Peterborough United U211435
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Barnsley U21
0Draws
1Peterborough United U21
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
24%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
35%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.