How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Swansea City U21, at 51.9%. The other outcomes represent 48.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.9% · Draw: 20.1% · Away win: 28%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Swansea City U21 1568; Charlton Athletic U21 1512. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Professional Development League · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 13:00
Swansea City U21
Elo 1568
3
-
2
Charlton Athletic U21
Elo 1512
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+56
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Swansea City U211568
Charlton Athletic U211512
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Swansea City U21
0Draws
1Charlton Athletic U21
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
Draw
20%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
33%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.