How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Bukayriyah, at 49.6%. The other outcomes represent 50.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.6% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 28.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Bukayriyah 1402; Hajer 1453. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 1 · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 15:00
Al Bukayriyah
Elo 1402
2
-
1
Hajer
Elo 1453
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-51
Elo rating comparison
Al Bukayriyah1402
Hajer1453
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Al Bukayriyah
—Draws
—Hajer
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
22%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
42%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.