How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Beşiktaş, at 50.5%. The other outcomes represent 49.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.5% · Draw: 23.8% · Away win: 25.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Beşiktaş 2068; Başakşehir 1975. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Süper Lig · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 16:00
Beşiktaş
Elo 2068
2
-
0
Başakşehir
Elo 1975
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+93
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Beşiktaş2068
Başakşehir1975
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Beşiktaş
0Draws
0Başakşehir
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
24%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
41%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.