How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pafos, at 64.6%. The other outcomes represent 35.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.4% · Draw: 16% · Away win: 64.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nea Salamis 1801; Pafos 2011. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 16:00
Nea Salamis
Elo 1801
0
-
0
Pafos
Elo 2011
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-211
Elo rating comparison
Nea Salamis1801
Pafos2011
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Nea Salamis
—Draws
—Pafos
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
16%
Away
65%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
Draw
37%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.