How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sandefjord II, at 49.2%. The other outcomes represent 50.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.2% · Draw: 20.4% · Away win: 30.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sandefjord II 1459; Sarpsborg 08 II 1437. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 6 · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 17:00
Sandefjord II
Elo 1459
3
-
2
Sarpsborg 08 II
Elo 1437
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+22
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Sandefjord II1459
Sarpsborg 08 II1437
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Sandefjord II
0Draws
0Sarpsborg 08 II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
35%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
HT Over 0.5
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
84%
No
16%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.