How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Omonia Nicosia, at 41.5%. The other outcomes represent 58.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36% · Draw: 22.5% · Away win: 41.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: AEK Larnaca 2014; Omonia Nicosia 2102. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Division · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 17:00
AEK Larnaca
Elo 2014
2
-
0
Omonia Nicosia
Elo 2102
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-88
H2H (4)
0H
2D
2A
Elo rating comparison
AEK Larnaca2014
Omonia Nicosia2102
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0AEK Larnaca
2Draws
2Omonia Nicosia
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
22%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
46%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.