How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is AFC Bournemouth U21, at 49.6%. The other outcomes represent 50.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.6% · Draw: 21.1% · Away win: 29.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: AFC Bournemouth U21 1609; Brentford U21 1655. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League 2 Division One · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 19:00
AFC Bournemouth U21
Elo 1609
3
-
4
Brentford U21
Elo 1655
FT
HT 2-2
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-45
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
AFC Bournemouth U211609
Brentford U211655
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0AFC Bournemouth U21
0Draws
1Brentford U21
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
21%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
36%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.