How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Crystal Palace U21, at 41.8%. The other outcomes represent 58.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.8% · Draw: 21.1% · Away win: 37.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Crystal Palace U21 1607; Southampton U21 1608. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–5. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League 2 Division One · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 19:00
Crystal Palace U21
Elo 1607
2
-
5
Southampton U21
Elo 1608
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-1
Elo rating comparison
Crystal Palace U211607
Southampton U211608
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Crystal Palace U21
—Draws
—Southampton U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
21%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
36%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.