How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Reims, at 55.5%. The other outcomes represent 44.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 23.1% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 55.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Boulogne 1701; Reims 1919. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 2 · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 19:45
Boulogne
Elo 1701
1
-
1
Reims
Elo 1919
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
5D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-218
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Boulogne1701
Reims1919
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Boulogne
2Draws
0Reims
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
21%
Away
55%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
Draw
40%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.