How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Jaguares, at 39.4%. The other outcomes represent 60.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.4% · Draw: 24.7% · Away win: 35.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Jaguares 1501; Llaneros 1547. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera A · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 23:00
Jaguares
Elo 1501
1
-
0
Llaneros
Elo 1547
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-46
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Jaguares1501
Llaneros1547
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Jaguares
0Draws
1Llaneros
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
42%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.