How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Saipa, at 61.1%. The other outcomes represent 38.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.1% · Draw: 27.5% · Away win: 11.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Saipa 1606; Naft Gachsaran 1446. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Azadegan League · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 12:00
Saipa
Elo 1606
0
-
1
Naft Gachsaran
Elo 1446
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+160
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Saipa1606
Naft Gachsaran1446
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Saipa
0Draws
2Naft Gachsaran
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
WRONG
Home
61%
Draw
27%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
46%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.