How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is SC Villa, at 72.5%. The other outcomes represent 27.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 72.5% · Draw: 18.8% · Away win: 8.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: SC Villa 1685; Blacks Power 1488. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 13:00
SC Villa
Elo 1685
0
-
0
Blacks Power
Elo 1488
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+196
Elo rating comparison
SC Villa1685
Blacks Power1488
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—SC Villa
—Draws
—Blacks Power
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
WRONG
Home
72%
Draw
19%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
39%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.