How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Famalicão U23, at 60.0%. The other outcomes represent 40.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60% · Draw: 19.9% · Away win: 20%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Famalicão U23 1646; União Leiria U23 1453. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Revelação U23 · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 15:00
Famalicão U23
Elo 1646
2
-
0
União Leiria U23
Elo 1453
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+193
Elo rating comparison
Famalicão U231646
União Leiria U231453
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Famalicão U23
—Draws
—União Leiria U23
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
60%
Draw
20%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
Draw
36%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.