How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Moreirense U23, at 51.3%. The other outcomes represent 48.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.3% · Draw: 21.6% · Away win: 27.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Moreirense U23 1548; Gil Vicente U23 1573. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Revelação U23 · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 13:00
Moreirense U23
Elo 1548
2
-
0
Gil Vicente U23
Elo 1573
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-25
Elo rating comparison
Moreirense U231548
Gil Vicente U231573
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Moreirense U23
—Draws
—Gil Vicente U23
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
22%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
42%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.