How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Young Africans, at 75.9%. The other outcomes represent 24.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 75.9% · Draw: 17.5% · Away win: 6.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Young Africans 1984; Mashujaa 1534. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligi kuu Bara · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 15:30
Young Africans
Elo 1984
2
-
1
Mashujaa
Elo 1534
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+450
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Young Africans1984
Mashujaa1534
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Young Africans
0Draws
0Mashujaa
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
76% conf.
CORRECT
Home
76%
Draw
18%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
52%
Draw
37%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.