How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fratria, at 65.8%. The other outcomes represent 34.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65.8% · Draw: 17.5% · Away win: 16.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fratria 1783; Montana 1589. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 16:00
Fratria
Elo 1783
1
-
2
Montana
Elo 1589
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+194
Elo rating comparison
Fratria1783
Montana1589
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Fratria
—Draws
—Montana
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
WRONG
Home
66%
@ 1.28
Draw
18%
@ 4.78
Away
17%
@ 7.92
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.83
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
89%
@ 1.06
No
11%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
59% conf.
WRONG
Home
59%
@ 1.74
Draw
29%
@ 2.53
Away
12%
@ 7.09
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
@ 1.25
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
@ 1.13
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.54
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.