How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lazio, at 56.5%. The other outcomes represent 43.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.1% · Draw: 18.4% · Away win: 56.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sassuolo 1884; Lazio 2070. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–6. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 17:30
Sassuolo
Elo 1884
2
-
6
Lazio
Elo 2070
FT
HT 2-4
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-186
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Sassuolo1884
Lazio2070
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sassuolo
0Draws
1Lazio
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
18%
Away
57%
Both Teams to Score
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
40%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.