How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ascoli, at 70.0%. The other outcomes represent 30.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 70% · Draw: 18.5% · Away win: 11.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ascoli 1833; Sampdoria 1647. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie B · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 19:00
Ascoli
Elo 1833
2
-
0
Sampdoria
Elo 1647
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+186
Elo rating comparison
Ascoli1833
Sampdoria1647
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Ascoli
—Draws
—Sampdoria
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
70% conf.
CORRECT
Home
70%
Draw
19%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
WRONG
Home
54%
Draw
34%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.