How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bayern München, at 68.9%. The other outcomes represent 31.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.9% · Draw: 19.6% · Away win: 11.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bayern München 2443; 1. FC Magdeburg 1920. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
DFB Pokal · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 19:45
Bayern München
Elo 2443
6
-
1
1. FC Magdeburg
Elo 1920
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+523
Elo rating comparison
Bayern München2443
1. FC Magdeburg1920
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Bayern München
—Draws
—1. FC Magdeburg
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
CORRECT
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
33%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.