How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Borussia Mönchengladbach, at 69.2%. The other outcomes represent 30.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 69.2% · Draw: 20.9% · Away win: 9.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1976; Karlsruher SC 1798. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
DFB Pokal · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 19:45
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Elo 1976
2
-
0
Karlsruher SC
Elo 1798
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+177
Elo rating comparison
Borussia Mönchengladbach1976
Karlsruher SC1798
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Borussia Mönchengladbach
—Draws
—Karlsruher SC
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
CORRECT
Home
69%
Draw
21%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
38%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.