How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Borussia Dortmund, at 43.5%. The other outcomes represent 56.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.5% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 36.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Borussia Dortmund 2206; Werder Bremen 1973. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
DFB Pokal · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 19:45
Borussia Dortmund
Elo 2206
3
-
2
Werder Bremen
Elo 1973
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+233
H2H (6)
2H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Borussia Dortmund2206
Werder Bremen1973
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Borussia Dortmund
4Draws
0Werder Bremen
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
20%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
36%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.