How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is VfB Stuttgart, at 47.3%. The other outcomes represent 52.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.6% · Draw: 28.1% · Away win: 47.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: SC Paderborn 07 2000; VfB Stuttgart 2160. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
DFB Pokal · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 17:00
SC Paderborn 07
Elo 2000
0
-
1
VfB Stuttgart
Elo 2160
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-160
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
SC Paderborn 072000
VfB Stuttgart2160
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0SC Paderborn 07
0Draws
4VfB Stuttgart
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
28%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
44%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.