How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Telstar, at 64.1%. The other outcomes represent 35.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.1% · Draw: 21.3% · Away win: 14.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Telstar 1753; Almere City FC 1642. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
KNVB Beker · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 19:00
Telstar
Elo 1753
0
-
2
Almere City FC
Elo 1642
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+111
H2H (3)
1H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Telstar1753
Almere City FC1642
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Telstar
0Draws
2Almere City FC
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
WRONG
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
42%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.