How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Colchester United U21, at 40.6%. The other outcomes represent 59.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.6% · Draw: 22% · Away win: 37.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Colchester United U21 1322; Queens Park Rangers U21 1432. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Professional Development League · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 19:30
Colchester United U21
Elo 1322
5
-
1
Queens Park Rangers U21
Elo 1432
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-110
H2H (3)
0H
1D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Colchester United U211322
Queens Park Rangers U211432
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Colchester United U21
1Draws
2Queens Park Rangers U21
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
22%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
35%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
HT Over 0.5
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.