How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is AFC Fylde, at 54.1%. The other outcomes represent 45.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.1% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 25.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: AFC Fylde 1759; Hartlepool 1555. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 19:45
AFC Fylde
Elo 1759
3
-
1
Hartlepool
Elo 1555
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+204
Elo rating comparison
AFC Fylde1759
Hartlepool1555
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—AFC Fylde
—Draws
—Hartlepool
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
54%
Draw
20%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
34%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.