How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bedford Town, at 35.7%. The other outcomes represent 64.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.7% · Draw: 30.4% · Away win: 34%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bedford Town 1688; Hednesford Town 1714. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League - North · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 19:45
Bedford Town
Elo 1688
1
-
0
Hednesford Town
Elo 1714
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-26
Elo rating comparison
Bedford Town1688
Hednesford Town1714
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Bedford Town
—Draws
—Hednesford Town
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
Draw
30%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
43%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.