How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Alvechurch, at 36.9%. The other outcomes represent 63.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.9% · Draw: 27.3% · Away win: 35.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Alvechurch 1676; Anstey Nomads 1724. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Southern Central · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 19:45
Alvechurch
Elo 1676
2
-
2
Anstey Nomads
Elo 1724
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-48
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Alvechurch1676
Anstey Nomads1724
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Alvechurch
4Draws
0Anstey Nomads
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
27%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
39%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.