How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Needham Market, at 63.0%. The other outcomes represent 37.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 13.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Needham Market 1629; Leighton Town 1526. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Southern Central · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 19:45
Needham Market
Elo 1629
1
-
1
Leighton Town
Elo 1526
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+104
Elo rating comparison
Needham Market1629
Leighton Town1526
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Needham Market
—Draws
—Leighton Town
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
WRONG
Home
63%
Draw
23%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
53% conf.
WRONG
Home
53%
Draw
34%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.