How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Real Bedford, at 56.9%. The other outcomes represent 43.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.9% · Draw: 20.8% · Away win: 22.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Real Bedford 1751; Stourbridge 1579. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Southern Central · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 19:45
Real Bedford
Elo 1751
0
-
1
Stourbridge
Elo 1579
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+172
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Real Bedford1751
Stourbridge1579
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Real Bedford
0Draws
0Stourbridge
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
WRONG
Home
57%
Draw
21%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
38%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.