How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Chichester City, at 39.1%. The other outcomes represent 60.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.1% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 36.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Chichester City 1658; Hanworth Villa 1688. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Southern South · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 19:45
Chichester City
Elo 1658
1
-
2
Hanworth Villa
Elo 1688
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-29
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Chichester City1658
Hanworth Villa1688
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Chichester City
0Draws
4Hanworth Villa
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
24%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
38%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.