How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gloucester City, at 40.1%. The other outcomes represent 59.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.1% · Draw: 22.7% · Away win: 40.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Plymouth Parkway 1665; Gloucester City 1686. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Southern South · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 19:45
Plymouth Parkway
Elo 1665
1
-
0
Gloucester City
Elo 1686
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-20
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Plymouth Parkway1665
Gloucester City1686
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Plymouth Parkway
4Draws
0Gloucester City
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
23%
Away
40%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
41%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.