How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tokyo Verdy Beleza W, at 75.5%. The other outcomes represent 24.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 75.5% · Draw: 14.5% · Away win: 10.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tokyo Verdy Beleza W 1716; Cerezo Osaka W 1421. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
WE League · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 09:00
Tokyo Verdy Beleza W
Elo 1716
1
-
2
Cerezo Osaka W
Elo 1421
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+295
Elo rating comparison
Tokyo Verdy Beleza W1716
Cerezo Osaka W1421
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Tokyo Verdy Beleza W
—Draws
—Cerezo Osaka W
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
75% conf.
WRONG
Home
75%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
WRONG
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
WRONG
Home
54%
Draw
35%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.