How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Korabi Peshkopi, at 44.9%. The other outcomes represent 55.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.9% · Draw: 25.4% · Away win: 29.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Korabi Peshkopi 1644; Burreli 1611. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1st Division · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 12:30
Korabi Peshkopi
Elo 1644
1
-
0
Burreli
Elo 1611
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+33
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Korabi Peshkopi1644
Burreli1611
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Korabi Peshkopi
1Draws
0Burreli
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
Draw
43%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.