How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Sahel, at 39.2%. The other outcomes represent 60.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.4% · Draw: 27.4% · Away win: 39.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Gottah 1446; Al Sahel 1479. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 12:30
Al Gottah
Elo 1446
0
-
2
Al Sahel
Elo 1479
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-33
Elo rating comparison
Al Gottah1446
Al Sahel1479
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Al Gottah
—Draws
—Al Sahel
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
41%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.