How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mudhar Club, at 39.5%. The other outcomes represent 60.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.1% · Draw: 26.5% · Away win: 39.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al-Wajj 1432; Mudhar Club 1518. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 12:40
Al-Wajj
Elo 1432
2
-
1
Mudhar Club
Elo 1518
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-87
Elo rating comparison
Al-Wajj1432
Mudhar Club1518
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Al-Wajj
—Draws
—Mudhar Club
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
26%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
Draw
43%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.