How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Istiqlol, at 79.0%. The other outcomes represent 21.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 79% · Draw: 13.6% · Away win: 7.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Istiqlol 1798; Eskhata 1512. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Vysshaya Liga · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 12:00
Istiqlol
Elo 1798
1
-
1
Eskhata
Elo 1512
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+286
H2H (3)
0H
3D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Istiqlol1798
Eskhata1512
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Istiqlol
3Draws
0Eskhata
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
79% conf.
WRONG
Home
79%
Draw
14%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
WRONG
Home
54%
Draw
34%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.