How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Triglav, at 39.1%. The other outcomes represent 60.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.5% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 39.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Beltinci 1750; Triglav 1824. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. SNL · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 13:00
Beltinci
Elo 1750
3
-
4
Triglav
Elo 1824
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-74
Elo rating comparison
Beltinci1750
Triglav1824
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Beltinci
—Draws
—Triglav
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
@ 2.32
Draw
23%
@ 3.31
Away
39%
@ 2.59
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 1.57
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
@ 1.41
No
36%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.48
No
37%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
@ 2.91
Draw
37%
@ 2.16
Away
35%
@ 3.11
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.30
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
@ 1.21
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.72
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.