How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Simba, at 66.9%. The other outcomes represent 33.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.9% · Draw: 15.2% · Away win: 66.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Singida Big Stars 1424; Simba 1985. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligi kuu Bara · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 13:15
Singida Big Stars
Elo 1424
0
-
1
Simba
Elo 1985
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-562
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Singida Big Stars1424
Simba1985
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Singida Big Stars
0Draws
2Simba
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
CORRECT
Home
18%
Draw
15%
Away
67%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
18%
Draw
31%
Away
50%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.