How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Shakhtar Donetsk, at 41.3%. The other outcomes represent 58.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.3% · Draw: 21.6% · Away win: 37%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Shakhtar Donetsk 2107; Dynamo Kyiv 2005. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Cup · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 16:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
Elo 2107
3
-
0
Dynamo Kyiv
Elo 2005
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+101
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Shakhtar Donetsk2107
Dynamo Kyiv2005
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Shakhtar Donetsk
0Draws
0Dynamo Kyiv
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
22%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
38%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.