Nasaf vs Al Kuwait

AFC Champions League Two · Wednesday, 28 Oct 2026 · 13:45

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Kuwait, at 42.7%. The other outcomes represent 57.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 28.7% · Draw: 28.6% · Away win: 42.7%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Nasaf 1748; Al Kuwait 1977. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

AFC Champions League Two · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026 · 13:45
Nasaf
Elo 1748
0 - 1
Al Kuwait
Elo 1977
FT HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W 2D 1L
Away Form (5)
3W 2D 0L
Elo Advantage
-229

Elo rating comparison

Nasaf1748
Al Kuwait1977

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Nasaf
—Draws
—Al Kuwait

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
43% conf. CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
29%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf. WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf. WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf. CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf. WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
71% conf. CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
41% conf. WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
41%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf. CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf. CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf. CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf. WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf. WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf. CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf. CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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